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Chess openings by real win rate

Ranked by the score each opening actually gets for its own side in real Lichess games at 1600-1800. Sample size is shown for every row — a rate over a small sample is not a signal.

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Opening comparison at 1600-1800
OpeningECOFirst movesGames (1600-1800)Score for its side
Italian Game C50 1.e4 e5 2.Nf3 Nc6 3.Bc4 51,348,708 52.6%
Ruy Lopez C60 1.e4 e5 2.Nf3 Nc6 3.Bb5 25,576,017 53.7%
Scotch Game C44 1.e4 e5 2.Nf3 Nc6 3.d4 20,926,091 55.3%
Sicilian Defense B20 1.e4 c5 124,922,537 50.4%
French Defense C00 1.e4 e6 65,842,533 50.1%
Caro-Kann Defense B10 1.e4 c6 45,817,917 50.8%
Scandinavian Defense B01 1.e4 d5 58,033,434 49.4%
Queen's Gambit D06 1.d4 d5 2.c4 48,007,189 54.8%
London System D00 1.d4 d5 2.Bf4 22,298,714 53.3%
King's Indian Defense E60 1.d4 Nf6 2.c4 g6 6,368,425 50.2%

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Italian Game

50.6% / 4.0% / 45.4%

Scores 52.6% for white at 1600-1800 (51,348,708 games)

Ruy Lopez

51.5% / 4.4% / 44.1%

Scores 53.7% for white at 1600-1800 (25,576,017 games)

Scotch Game

53.1% / 4.4% / 42.5%

Scores 55.3% for white at 1600-1800 (20,926,091 games)

Sicilian Defense

47.6% / 4.0% / 48.4%

Scores 50.4% for black at 1600-1800 (124,922,537 games)

French Defense

47.8% / 4.2% / 48.0%

Scores 50.1% for black at 1600-1800 (65,842,533 games)

Caro-Kann Defense

47.0% / 4.3% / 48.6%

Scores 50.8% for black at 1600-1800 (45,817,917 games)

Scandinavian Defense

48.5% / 4.3% / 47.2%

Scores 49.4% for black at 1600-1800 (58,033,434 games)

Queen's Gambit

52.6% / 4.4% / 43.1%

Scores 54.8% for white at 1600-1800 (48,007,189 games)

London System

51.0% / 4.6% / 44.4%

Scores 53.3% for white at 1600-1800 (22,298,714 games)

King's Indian Defense

47.6% / 4.4% / 48.1%

Scores 50.2% for black at 1600-1800 (6,368,425 games)